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Generalized Least Squares

Summary

The Generalized Least Squares model is a regression formulation which does not assume that the model errors/residuals are independent of each other. Rather it borrows from the Gaussian Process paradigm and assigns a covariance structure to the model residuals.

Warning

The nomenclature Generalized Least Squares (GLS) and Generalized Linear Models (GLM) can cause much confusion. It is important to remember the context of both. GLS refers to relaxing of the independence of residuals assumption while GLM refers to Ordinary Least Squares OLS based models which are extended to model regression, counts, or classification tasks.

Formulation.

Let \mathbf{X} \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times m} be a matrix containing data attributes. The GLS model builds a linear predictor of the target quantity of the following form.

\begin{equation} \mathbf {y} = \varphi(\mathbf {X}) \mathbf {\beta } +\mathbf {\varepsilon } \end{equation}

Where \varphi(.): \mathbb{R}^m \rightarrow \mathbb{R}^d is a feature mapping, \mathbf{y} \in \mathbb{R}^n is the vector of output values found in the training data set and \mathbf{\beta} \in \mathbb{R}^d is a set of regression parameters.

In the GLS framework, it is assumed that the model errors \varepsilon \in \mathbb{R}^n follow a multivariate gaussian distribution given by \mathbb {E} [\varepsilon |\mathbf {X} ] = 0 and \operatorname{Var} [\varepsilon |\mathbf {X} ] = \mathbf {\Omega }, where \mathbf{\Omega} is a symmetric positive semi-definite covariance matrix.

In order to calculate the model parameters \mathbf{\beta}, the log-likelihood of the training data outputs must be maximized with respect to the parameters \mathbf{\beta}, which leads to.

\begin{equation} \min_{\mathbf{\beta}} \ \mathcal{J}_P(\mathbf{\beta}) = (\mathbf {y} - \varphi(\mathbf {X}) \mathbf {\beta} )^{\mathtt {T}}\,\mathbf {\Omega } ^{-1}(\mathbf {y} - \varphi(\mathbf {X}) \mathbf {\beta} ) \end{equation}

For the GLS problem the analytical solution of the above optimization problem can be calculated.

{\displaystyle \mathbf {\hat {\beta }} =\left(\varphi(\mathbf {X}) ^{\mathtt {T}}\mathbf {\Omega } ^{-1}\varphi(\mathbf {X})\right)^{-1}\varphi(\mathbf {X}) ^{\mathtt {T}}\mathbf {\Omega } ^{-1}\mathbf {y} .}

GLS Models

You can create a GLS model using the GeneralizedLeastSquaresModel class.

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//Get the training data
val data: Stream[(DenseVector[Double], Double)] = _
//Define a feature mapping
//If it is not defined the GLS model
//will assume a identity feature map.
val feature_map: DenseVector[Double] => DenseVector[Double] = _

//Initialize a kernel function.
val kernel: LocalScalarKernel[DenseVector[Double]] = _
//Construct the covariance matrix for model errors.
val covmat = kernel.buildBlockedKernelMatrix(data, data.length)

val gls_model = new GeneralizedLeastSquaresModel(
  data, covmat,
  feature_map)

//Train the model
gls_model.learn()

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